RaceIQ · NTT IndyCar Series · Season 2026
American open wheel, forecast.
Race and championship forecasts for the NTT IndyCar Series — all 18 races, from the streets of St. Petersburg to the season finale, across ovals, road courses and street circuits. 11 of 18 rounds complete, on the same MotorsportVerse core that powers RaceIQ F1.
Next round · Predicted next
Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix
Nashville Superspeedway · one points race — a full-field forecast before the green flag, retirement risk included.
Track record
Graded against every result
Every forecast is scored against the official classification once the checkered flag drops on each race — no cherry-picking. The figures below cover the season so far.
How it works
Results → model → forecast
From each round's finishing orders to a probability for every car — here is the path each forecast travels before it reaches you.
Step 1 / 3
IndyCar results
- 1
IndyCar results
Race classifications, grids and championship standings — fifteen seasons of hand-verified history, updated after every checkered flag.
- 2
The model
A surface-aware driver model — every driver carries separate oval and road/street form, because the two reward different things. A per-driver retirement hazard rides along, and it re-trains as the season unfolds.
- 3
Race forecast
Probabilities for win, podium, top six and top ten for every driver — calibrated on the season's real results.
What you get
Every read, one tap away
Race Window
This round & beyond
Race Forecast · Next Round
Predicted Podium — Nashville Superspeedway
The model's top three picks for Borchetta Bourbon Music City Grand Prix at round 12. Projected race winner plus the two drivers most likely to share the podium.
Win probability
0.0%
Win probability
0.0%
Win probability
0.0%Race Control
Latest Official Result
Round 11 · Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio · Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course
| Pos | Driver | Status |
|---|---|---|
| P1 | Pato O'Ward | WINNER |
| P2 |  Christian Lundgaard | FINISHED |
| P3 | Kyle Kirkwood | FINISHED |
| P4 |  Rinus VeeKay | FINISHED |
| P5 |  Álex Palou | FINISHED |
| P6 |  Will Power | FINISHED |
| P7 |  Christian Rasmussen | FINISHED |
| P8 | David Malukas | FINISHED |
| P9 |  Josef Newgarden | FINISHED |
| P10 |  Nolan Siegel | FINISHED |
Championship Snapshot
Where the season stands
Championship
Drivers · Top 5
- 10
Álex Palou
Chip Ganassi Racing
- 20
Kyle Kirkwood
Andretti Global
- 30
Christian Lundgaard
Arrow McLaren
- 40
David Malukas
Team Penske
- 50
Pato O'Ward
Arrow McLaren
Teams
Team Standings
P1
Team Penske
0
P2
Chip Ganassi Racing
0
P3
Arrow McLaren
0
Next Round
R12
Nashville Superspeedway
Podium Accuracy
0%
11 rounds graded
Biggest Mover
Pato O'Ward
+0 pts last round
Title Favourite
0%
Álex Palou
Championship Leader
Álex Palou
Chip Ganassi Racing · Team Penske leads teams
0
Projected Final Points · Álex Palou
0
projected (586–644 range) · 404 pts now · 7 of 18 rounds left
Constellation
The teams behind the grid
13 teams contest the 2026 IndyCar season — every car on the grid, in orbit. Chevrolet and Honda split the paddock, so the engine title is a genuine two-supplier fight.
Under the hood
Built to be checked
No black box, no cherry-picked highlights. The system is automated, time-stamped and open — so you can verify every claim yourself.
Re-trained every round
An automated pipeline folds in the latest race result before the next round — recent form and grid position, no manual intervention.
Time-stamped forecasts
Every forecast carries the moment it was generated, so freshness is never ambiguous. Last refreshed Aug 30, 2026.
Open methodology, open source
The full pipeline and the exact accuracy scoring are public on GitHub — every number on this site is reproducible.
One MotorsportVerse core
Built on the same motorsport-core that powers RaceIQ F1, with 11 IndyCar rounds graded so far this season.
Questions
Good to know
Is this betting or gambling advice?
No. RaceIQ Indy is a personal project published for education and entertainment. The forecasts are model outputs and should not be used for betting or any form of gambling. The project is not affiliated with INDYCAR or any team.
How accurate is it, really?
Every predicted finishing order is graded against the official classification once each race is over. The live numbers are published in full on the accuracy report, including the races where the model got it wrong — and the current health warnings sit right beside the wins.
What makes IndyCar hard to forecast?
The same driver rarely excels everywhere: ovals, road courses and street circuits reward different skills, and the calendar splits between them almost evenly. On the ovals anyone can be collected by a wreck that wasn’t theirs. The forecast reflects that: every driver carries separate oval and road/street form, a modelled retirement risk, and predicted finishing ranges that honestly widen where chaos reigns.
How is the champion decided?
The classic way: most points after the final race wins — no playoffs, no resets. Every remaining round is simulated to project each driver’s title odds and points range. The standings page shows who is favoured, who is mathematically alive, and how far the long shots have to climb.
How fresh are the forecasts?
Forecasts are regenerated every race round and time-stamped, so you always know how recent a prediction is. “Next up” is the upcoming IndyCar race; results land as soon as they are official.
Is it open source?
Yes. The full data pipeline, the model, and the exact accuracy scoring are public on GitHub, so every figure on this site is reproducible. RaceIQ Indy runs on the same MotorsportVerse core that powers RaceIQ F1.
What data feeds the model?
Race classifications, starting grids and championship standings — a hand-verified archive of fifteen seasons, updated after every round of the NTT IndyCar Series season.
Lights out
Ready before the grid forms
Open the next IndyCar race forecast, then judge it against the result. That is the whole deal.