RaceIQ MotoGP
MotoGP · motorcycle
The premier-class motorcycle series on the MotorsportVerse core. A leakage-safe rider-skill blend (cross-season driver-skill ratings with rookie pooling + finishing history + a first-class manufacturer/bike term — MotoGP is not a spec series) routed through two race heads that share the qualifying grid: the Saturday Sprint (shorter, higher-variance) and Sunday's Grand Prix, with simulated win/podium probabilities, finishing-range intervals, and a Sprint+GP-aware rider championship projection. Runs on the real 2026 MotoGP season pulled from the official results API into a committed, reviewable snapshot (2021-2026 corpus). The post-qualifying forecast is the headline surface and is validated to beat the grid-order baseline on win- and podium-Brier; forward-eval grades every completed round honestly against grid and last-standings baselines. Deployed site + scheduled refresh pipeline.
Datasets
- api.motogp.pulselive.com (official results API, pulled to a committed snapshot)
- 2021-2026 premier-class corpus (offline, reproducible)
Model components
- rider-skill-elo-cross-season
- manufacturer-effect
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
Shared core modules
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
- Driver-skill ratings
- Uncertainty intervals
- Forward evaluation
- Drift monitoring
- Leakage guards
- Predictor interfaces
Tags
- motorcycle
- sprint-and-grand-prix
- grid-conditioned
- calibrated probabilities
- race simulation
Registered 2026-06-15
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