RaceIQ F3
Formula 3 · open-wheel
The third series on the MotorsportVerse core, built at RaceIQ F2 parity: a leakage-safe driver-skill blend (rookie-aware ratings, finishing history, and an optional machine-learned signal) routed through two race-type heads — a merit feature race and a reverse-top-12 sprint — with simulated win/podium probabilities, finishing-range intervals, and a sprint+feature-aware championship projection over the 30-car grid. Runs on the real 2026 FIA Formula 3 season: official results are scraped into a committed, reviewable snapshot via the shared FIA feeder-series source, with model forecasts for upcoming rounds. Deployed site, scheduled refresh pipeline, and public forward-eval grading every round.
Datasets
- fiaformula3.com (official results, scraped to a committed snapshot)
- synthetic latent-pace (offline fallback)
Model components
- Driver-skill model
- Reverse-grid sprint head
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
Shared core modules
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
- Driver-skill ratings
- Uncertainty intervals
- Forward evaluation
- Drift monitoring
- Gated model promotion
- Leakage guards
- Predictor interfaces
Tags
- feeder series
- spec series
- reverse grid
- calibrated probabilities
- race simulation
Registered 2026-07-02
Related projects
View all →F1 Predictions
Formula 1
Calibrated race-outcome forecasts for every Formula 1 Grand Prix.
IndyCar Predictions
IndyCar
Race and championship forecasts for the NTT IndyCar Series.
RaceIQ F2
Formula 2
Sprint, feature-race, and championship forecasts for FIA Formula 2.