Formula E Predictions
Formula E · electric
The first all-electric series on the MotorsportVerse core: a driver-forward skill blend (driver-skill ratings seeded from 2019+ seasons + finishing history + optional machine-learned signal) with post-qualifying grid conditioning, simulated win/podium probabilities calibrated separately for street and permanent circuits, and a championship projection that accounts for pole and fastest-lap bonus points. Runs on the real 2025-26 season: official results flow from the live Formula E API into a committed, reviewable snapshot, with doubleheader weekends modeled as separate rounds. Backfilled and backtested across twelve seasons of series history. Deployed site, scheduled refresh pipeline, and public forward-eval grading every round.
Datasets
- Formula E API (official results, snapshotted to a committed file)
- Series history 2014-15 onward (backfilled archive)
Model components
- Driver-skill model
- post-quali-grid-conditioning
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
Shared core modules
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
- Driver-skill ratings
- Uncertainty intervals
- Forward evaluation
- Drift monitoring
- Gated model promotion
- Leakage guards
- Predictor interfaces
Tags
- electric
- street-circuits
- doubleheaders
- calibrated probabilities
- race simulation
Registered 2026-06-15
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