RaceIQ · Formula 3 · 2026
Formula 3, forecast.
Sprint, feature-race and championship forecasts for the FIA Formula 3 championship — from a model built for a spec series, where the cars are equal so driver skill rules. The sprint runs a reversed grid; the feature race is earned on merit. 5 of 9 rounds complete, on the same MotorsportVerse core that powers RaceIQ F1.
Next round · Predicted next
Belgium
Belgium · two races, modelled separately — reversed-grid sprint and merit feature.
Track record
Graded against every result
Every forecast is scored against the official classification once the chequered flag drops on both races of the round — sprint and feature — no cherry-picking. The figures below cover the season so far.
How it works
Results → model → forecast
From each round's finishing orders to a probability for every car — here is the path each forecast travels before it reaches you.
Step 1 / 3
Formula 3 results
- 1
Formula 3 results
Sprint and feature finishing orders, grids and championship standings ingested after every round.
- 2
The model
A driver-skill model built for a spec series — where the cars are equal, so form and racecraft carry the signal. It re-trains as the season unfolds, then weighs every car in the field.
- 3
Race forecast
Probabilities for win, podium, top six and top ten — for both the reversed-grid sprint and the merit-grid feature race.
What you get
Every read, one tap away
Race Window
This round & beyond
Race Forecast · Next Round
Predicted Podium — Belgium
The model's top three picks for the feature race at round 6. Projected race winner plus the two drivers most likely to share the rostrum.
Win probability
0.0%
Win probability
0.0%
Win probability
0.0%Race Control
Latest Official Result
Round 5 · Great Britain feature race · United Kingdom
| Pos | Driver | Status |
|---|---|---|
| P1 |  M. De Palo | WINNER |
| P2 | E. Rivera | FINISHED |
| P3 |  M. Gładysz | FINISHED |
| P4 |  J. Wharton | FINISHED |
| P5 | F. Slater | FINISHED |
| P6 | U. Ugochukwu | FINISHED |
| P7 |  L. Sharp | FINISHED |
| P8 |  N. Strømsted | FINISHED |
| P9 |  K. Le | FINISHED |
| P10 |  A. Giusti | FINISHED |
Championship Snapshot
Where the season stands
Championship
Drivers · Top 5
- 10
U. Ugochukwu
Campos Racing
- 20
F. Slater
TRIDENT
- 3
0T. Naël
Campos Racing
- 40
N. Strømsted
TRIDENT
- 5
0B. Del Pino
Van Amersfoort Racing
Teams
Team Standings
P1
Campos Racing
0
P2
TRIDENT
0
P3
Van Amersfoort Racing
0
Next Round
R6
Belgium
Podium Accuracy
0%
5 rounds graded
Biggest Mover
M. De Palo
+0 pts last round
Title Favourite
0%
U. Ugochukwu
Championship Leader
U. Ugochukwu
Campos Racing · Campos Racing leads teams
0
Projected Final Points · U. Ugochukwu
0
projected (168–207 range) · 97 pts now · 4 of 9 rounds left
Constellation
The teams behind the grid
10 teams run the 2026 FIA Formula 3 field — every car on the grid, in orbit. F3 is a spec series, so it is the drivers, not the machines, who decide the season.
Under the hood
Built to be checked
No black box, no cherry-picked highlights. The system is automated, time-stamped and open — so you can verify every claim yourself.
Re-trained every round
An automated pipeline folds in the latest sprint and feature result before the next round — recent form and grid position, no manual intervention.
Time-stamped forecasts
Every forecast carries the moment it was generated, so freshness is never ambiguous. Last refreshed Aug 30, 2026.
Open methodology, open source
The full pipeline and the exact accuracy scoring are public on GitHub — every number on this site is reproducible.
One MotorsportVerse core
Built on the same motorsport-core that powers RaceIQ F1, with 5 F3 rounds graded so far this season.
Questions
Good to know
Is this betting or gambling advice?
No. RaceIQ F3 is a personal project published for education and entertainment. The forecasts are model outputs and should not be used for betting or any form of gambling. The project is not affiliated with Formula 3, the FIA, or any team.
How accurate is it, really?
Every predicted finishing order is graded against the official classification once each race is over — both the sprint and the feature race of every round. The live numbers are published in full on the accuracy report, including the races where the model got it wrong.
Why is Formula 3 a good fit for a model?
F3 is a spec series — every team runs the same chassis, engine and tyres. With the machinery equalised, the signal that remains is driver form and racecraft, which is exactly what a skill-based forecast is built to read. The reversed-grid sprint and the merit-grid feature race are modelled separately, because they reward very different things.
How fresh are the forecasts?
Forecasts are regenerated every race round and time-stamped, so you always know how recent a prediction is. “Next up” is the upcoming round; results land for both races as soon as they are official.
Is it open source?
Yes. The full data pipeline, the model, and the exact accuracy scoring are public on GitHub, so every figure on this site is reproducible. RaceIQ F3 runs on the same MotorsportVerse core that powers RaceIQ F1.
What data feeds the model?
Sprint and feature race results, starting grids and championship standings, ingested after every round of the FIA Formula 3 season.
Lights out
Ready before the grid forms
Open the next-round forecast — sprint and feature — then judge it against the result. That is the whole deal.