Round 09
Spain (Madrid)
Venue
Spain (Madrid)
Spain
Weekend Format
Two scored races each round.
Status
Scheduled
Auto-generated weekend angles
Model favours U. Ugochukwu (23%) over F. Slater (15%) in the feature race.
U. Ugochukwu has one hand on the title (95% on 97 pts); 30 drivers remain mathematically alive.
Model Forecast
Predicted Podium
Win probability
0.0%
Range P1–P10
Win probability
0.0%
Range P1–P7
Win probability
0.0%
Range P2–P12
Probability Layer
Win vs Podium
Win vs podium probability
UgochukwuSlaterRivera
Strømsted
Wharton
Gładysz
Naël
Yamakoshi
Clerot
Sharp
Taponen
Pino| P | Driver | Win | Podium | Range | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Ugochukwu Campos Racing | 23% | 59% | P1–P7 | High |
| 2 | F. Slater TRIDENT | 15% | 40% | P1–P10 | High |
| 3 | E. Rivera Campos Racing | 9% | 29% | P2–P12 | High |
| 4 | N. Strømsted TRIDENT | 10% | 28% | P2–P12 | High |
| 5 | J. Wharton PREMA Racing | 6% | 20% | P2–P14 | Medium |
| 6 | M. Gładysz ART Grand Prix | 5% | 17% | P2–P15 | Medium |
| 7 | T. Naël Campos Racing | 3% | 12% | P3–P17 | Medium |
| 8 | H. Yamakoshi Van Amersfoort Racing | 3% | 11% | P3–P18 | Medium |
| 9 | P. Clerot Rodin Motorsport | 3% | 9% | P4–P19 | Medium |
| 10 | L. Sharp PREMA Racing | 4% | 10% | P3–P19 | Low |
| 11 | T. Taponen MP Motorsport | 3% | 9% | P4–P19 | Medium |
| 12 | B. Del Pino Van Amersfoort Racing | 3% | 9% | P4–P20 | Low |
| 13 |  M. De Palo TRIDENT | 2% | 7% | P5–P20 | Medium |
| 14 |  A. Giusti MP Motorsport | 2% | 7% | P5–P21 | Low |
| 15 |  K. Le ART Grand Prix | 2% | 6% | P5–P21 | Low |
| 16 |  J. Nakamura Hitech TGR | 2% | 5% | P6–P22 | Low |
| 17 |  E. Deligny Van Amersfoort Racing | 1% | 5% | P6–P22 | Low |
| 18 |  B. Badoer Rodin Motorsport | 2% | 5% | P6–P23 | Low |
| 19 |  T. Kato ART Grand Prix | 1% | 4% | P7–P23 | Low |
| 20 |  Y. David AIX Racing | 1% | 2% | P9–P25 | Low |
| 21 |  N. Lacorte DAMS Lucas Oil | 0% | 1% | P12–P26 | Medium |
| 22 |  M. Colnaghi MP Motorsport | 0% | 1% | P12–P26 | Medium |
| 23 |  F. McLaughlin Hitech TGR | 0% | 1% | P14–P27 | Medium |
| 24 |  G. Xie DAMS Lucas Oil | 0% | 1% | P14–P27 | Medium |
| 25 |  J. Garfias PREMA Racing | 0% | 0% | P19–P29 | High |
| 26 |  S. Hanna AIX Racing | 0% | 1% | P19–P29 | High |
| 27 |  F. Barrichello AIX Racing | 0% | 0% | P19–P29 | High |
| 28 |  C. Ho Rodin Motorsport | 0% | 0% | P22–P30 | High |
| 29 |  W. Shin Hitech TGR | 0% | 0% | P23–P30 | High |
| 30 |  N. Bhirombhakdi DAMS Lucas Oil | 0% | 0% | P23–P30 | High |
Model Forecast
Likeliest Winner
U. Ugochukwu
23.1% projected win
High-Confidence Calls
10
Drivers Forecast
30
Race
Feature race
Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.
Circuit & Telemetry
Circuit
Spain (Madrid)
F3 races the same circuits as the lead category; layout geometry is shared. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, tyre stints) isn’t published for F3, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.
Charts
Win vs podium probability
UgochukwuSlaterRiveraStrømstedWhartonGładyszNaëlYamakoshiClerotSharpTaponenPinoWin market by round — feature race
Finish-position likelihood
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGO | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SLA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RIV | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| STR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| WHA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GLA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NAE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| YAM | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CLE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SHA | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TAP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BDE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DEP | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GIU | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NAK | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| EDE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BAD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| KAT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DAV | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| LAC | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| COL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MCL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| XIE | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GAR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HAN | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BAR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HO | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SHI | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BHI |
Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions.
Head-to-head — P(row beats column)
| beats ↓ / → | UGO | SLA | RIV | STR | WHA | GLA | NAE | YAM | CLE | SHA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGO | — | 63 | 72 | 73 | 79 | 82 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 88 |
| SLA | 37 | — | 60 | 60 | 69 | 73 | 79 | 80 | 82 | 82 |
| RIV | 28 | 40 | — | 52 | 61 | 65 | 72 | 74 | 77 | 77 |
| STR | 27 | 40 | 48 | — | 58 | 64 | 72 | 72 | 76 | 77 |
| WHA | 21 | 31 | 39 | 42 | — | 54 | 62 | 65 | 69 | 68 |
| GLA | 18 | 27 | 35 | 36 | 46 | — | 59 | 61 | 64 | 65 |
| NAE | 13 | 21 | 28 | 28 | 38 | 41 | — | 53 | 56 | 57 |
| YAM | 12 | 20 | 26 | 28 | 35 | 39 | 47 | — | 55 | 54 |
| CLE | 11 | 18 | 23 | 24 | 31 | 36 | 44 | 45 | — | 51 |
| SHA | 12 | 18 | 23 | 23 | 32 | 35 | 43 | 46 | 49 | — |