WRC · 2026
The 2026 Predictions Board
RaceIQ WRC forecasts every round of the World Rally Championship — the classified result of each rally, run over gravel, tarmac and snow — and projects the drivers’ and manufacturers’ title fights to the end of the season. It’s built on the same MotorsportVerse core that powers RaceIQ F1, tuned for what makes rallying different.
How it works
Live data → Model → Forecast
WRC results
Rally classifications, the surface run (gravel, tarmac or snow) and championship standings, ingested after every round.
The model
A crew-form model — recent form, the rally's surface and championship position carry the signal. It re-trains as the season unfolds, then weighs every crew in the field.
Rally forecast
Probabilities for win, podium, top six and top ten — one classification for every rally.
Surface is the defining variable
No two rounds are alike, because the ground keeps changing. The WRC runs on loose gravel, grippy tarmac and — in the depths of winter — snow and ice, and each surface rewards a different car balance, tyre choice and driving style. RaceIQ reads every forecast against the surface the rally is run on, so a crew that flies on gravel isn’t assumed to carry that form onto a tarmac round.
Crew form and championship position
Rallying has no qualifying and no starting grid to condition on, so the model leans on what it can actually observe: a crew’s own recent form, the surface ahead, and their place in the championship. It re-trains as the season unfolds and reads each Rally1 crew against the field, so the numbers follow who is genuinely fast right now rather than a name or a badge.
What the numbers mean
For each rally you get a win and podium probability per crew, an expected finishing range rather than a single guess, and a confidence read. For the season, the championship view shows each driver’s title odds and projected points — and who is still mathematically alive for the crown — alongside the manufacturers’ standings.
Honest about accuracy
Every forecast is made using only what was known before the rally — no peeking at the result — and scored against what actually happened on the accuracy dashboard, against the honest yardstick of championship form: does the forecast beat simply picking by the standings? Probability calibration stays switched off until enough real-feed rounds are banked, so the site never claims precision it hasn’t earned.
How to use this site
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Part of MotorsportVerse
RaceIQ WRC is one project in the MotorsportVerse ecosystem — a shared, open-source core for forecasting any racing series. The same machinery runs RaceIQ F1; WRC adds only what rallying genuinely needs.
Disclaimer
This site is a personal project published for educational and entertainment purposes. Forecasts are model outputs and should not be used for betting or any form of gambling. The project is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to the WRC, the FIA, the WRC Promoter, or any team.