RaceIQ WEC
FIA WEC · endurance
World endurance on the MotorsportVerse core. Endurance is multi-class, so every round is forecast per class (Hypercar, LMP2 at Le Mans, and LMGT3), and the competitor is the car entry, not a driver. Each entry's chance is an ensemble of recency (the last race and this-season form) with a smoothed cross-season entry rating and the team's operational strength — validated by walk-forward (2021-2026) to beat both naive baselines (last-race order and season-form order) on win- and podium-Brier over the full history, while tracking the best baseline in the current era. simulation-based per-class win/podium probabilities, finishing-range intervals, and a per-class drivers' championship projection. Le Mans is included as a round (24 hours, with its extra LMP2 field). Runs on the real season pulled from the official Al Kamel timing archive into a committed, reviewable snapshot (2021-2026 corpus). Deployed site + scheduled refresh; forward-eval grades every round honestly against the last-race and season-form baselines.
Datasets
- Al Kamel FIA WEC timing archive (official, pulled to a committed snapshot)
- 2021-2026 WEC corpus (offline, reproducible)
Model components
- per-class-entry-elo-cross-season
- recency-form-ensemble
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
Shared core modules
- Probability calibration
- Championship simulation
- Standings projection
- Driver-skill ratings
- Uncertainty intervals
- Forward evaluation
- Leakage guards
- Predictor interfaces
Tags
- endurance
- multi-class
- le-mans
- car-entry
- calibrated probabilities
- race simulation
Registered 2026-08-11
