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RaceIQ IMSA

IMSA · endurance

Experimental

North American sportscar racing on the MotorsportVerse core. IMSA is multi-class, so every round is forecast per class (GTP, LMP2, GTD PRO, GTD), and the competitor is the car entry, not a driver. Each entry's chance is an ensemble of recency (the last race and this-season form) with a smoothed cross-season entry rating and the team's operational strength — validated by walk-forward (2022-2026) to be never worse than the naive baselines (last-race order and season-form order) on win- and podium-Brier, beating both over the full history. simulation-based per-class win/podium probabilities, finishing-range intervals, and a per-class championship projection. Includes the blue-riband endurance rounds — the Rolex 24 At Daytona, Sebring, Petit Le Mans. Runs on the real season pulled from the official Al Kamel timing archive into a committed, reviewable snapshot (2022-2026 corpus, WeatherTech rounds only). Deployed site + scheduled refresh; forward-eval grades every round honestly against the last-race and season-form baselines.

Experimental. This product runs on the real season, but its forward accuracy is still accruing over live rounds — read the forecasts with that track record in mind.
endurance
Category
2
Datasets
5
Model components
8
Core modules

Datasets

  • Al Kamel IMSA WeatherTech timing archive (official, pulled to a committed snapshot)
  • 2022-2026 IMSA corpus (offline, reproducible)

Model components

  • per-class-entry-elo-cross-season
  • recency-form-ensemble
  • Probability calibration
  • Championship simulation
  • Standings projection

Shared core modules

  • Probability calibration
  • Championship simulation
  • Standings projection
  • Driver-skill ratings
  • Uncertainty intervals
  • Forward evaluation
  • Leakage guards
  • Predictor interfaces

Tags

  • endurance
  • multi-class
  • rolex-24
  • car-entry
  • calibrated probabilities
  • race simulation
Maintained byMotorsportVerse

Registered 2026-08-11

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