Round 3: Miami — RaceIQ Formula E

Round 03

Miami

Permanent CircuitResult + Forecast

Venue

Miami

United States

Weekend Format

Permanent Circuit

One scored race this weekend.

Status

Classified

Source: snapshot

What The Model Sees

Auto-generated weekend angles

MODEL

N. Cassidy is the clear favourite at 31% — nobody else clears 16%.

CIRCUIT

Miami runs on a permanent circuit — more overtaking room than the street venues, so race pace can recover a poor grid slot.

VERDICT

The forecast missed the winner, had 0/3 of the podium — typical miss 6.9 places.

Official Result

Race Podium

Result loaded

N. Müller

Porsche

Win probability

0.0%

Range P4–P14

Predicted P8

Race Winner

M. Evans

Jaguar TCS Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P7–P18

Predicted P14

P. Wehrlein

Porsche

Win probability

0.0%

Range P2–P10

Predicted P5

Probability Layer

Win vs Podium

Chaotic Race

Win vs podium probability

Cassidy

31%72%

Rowland

16%50%

Mortara

16%50%

Dennis

12%39%

Wehrlein

6%22%

Martí

2%10%

Vergne

3%10%

Müller

3%10%

Barnard

2%8%

Vries

2%6%

Günther

2%5%

Ticktum

1%5%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

P	Driver	Win	Podium	Range	Confidence	Actual
1	N. Cassidy Citroën Racing	31%	72%	P1–P5	High	P16
2	O. Rowland Nissan	16%	50%	P1–P7	High	P12
3	E. Mortara Mahindra Racing	16%	50%	P1–P7	High	P6
4	J. Dennis Andretti	12%	39%	P1–P8	High	P10
5	P. Wehrlein Porsche	6%	22%	P2–P10	High	P3
6	J. M. Martí CUPRA KIRO	2%	10%	P4–P13	Medium	P9
7	J-É. Vergne Citroën Racing	3%	10%	P4–P14	Medium	P15
8	N. Müller Porsche	3%	10%	P4–P14	Medium	P2
9	T. Barnard DS Penske	2%	8%	P4–P15	Low	P14
10	N. de Vries Mahindra Racing	2%	6%	P5–P15	Medium	P5
11	M. Günther DS Penske	2%	5%	P5–P16	Low	P19
12	D. Ticktum CUPRA KIRO	1%	5%	P5–P16	Low	—
13	N. Nato Nissan	1%	3%	P7–P17	Medium	P17
14	M. Evans Jaguar TCS Racing	1%	3%	P7–P18	Low	P1
15	A. Félix da Costa Jaguar TCS Racing	1%	3%	P7–P18	Low	P8
16	J. Eriksson Envision Racing	1%	2%	P8–P18	Medium	P4
17	S. Buemi Envision Racing	0%	1%	P10–P19	Medium	P7
18	L. Di Grassi Lola Yamaha ABT	0%	1%	P12–P20	High	P13
19	F. Drugovich Andretti	0%	0%	P13–P20	High	P18
20	Z. Maloney Lola Yamaha ABT	0%	0%	P15–P20	High	P11

Model Forecast

Likeliest Winner

N. Cassidy

31.1% projected win

High-Confidence Calls

Drivers Forecast

Circuit Type

Permanent

Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.

Circuit & Telemetry

Circuit

Miami

Layout pending

Circuit layout unavailable

A permanent race circuit — wider lines and more overtaking room than the street venues. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, energy traces) isn’t published for Formula E, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.

Charts

Win vs podium probability

Cassidy

31%72%

Rowland

16%50%

Mortara

16%50%

Dennis

12%39%

Wehrlein

6%22%

Martí

2%10%

Vergne

3%10%

Müller

3%10%

Barnard

2%8%

Vries

2%6%

Günther

2%5%

Ticktum

1%5%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

Win market by round

Predicted vs actual

Flatter lines = closer calls. 0 exact, 4 of 19 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.

Finish-position likelihood

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
CAS
ROW
MOR
DEN
WEH
MAR
JEV
MUE
BAR
DEV
GUE
TIC
NAT
EVA
DAC
ERI
BUE
DIG
DRU
MAL

Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.

Head-to-head — P(row beats column)

beats ↓ / →	CAS	ROW	MOR	DEN	WEH	MAR	JEV	MUE	BAR	DEV
CAS	—	66	65	72	82	92	92	92	93	95
ROW	34	—	50	58	72	87	87	87	88	90
MOR	35	50	—	57	72	86	86	86	89	90
DEN	28	42	43	—	65	82	82	82	85	87
WEH	18	28	28	35	—	70	72	72	76	79
MAR	8	13	14	18	30	—	52	53	57	61
JEV	8	13	14	18	28	48	—	50	55	58
MUE	8	13	14	18	28	47	50	—	55	57
BAR	7	12	11	15	24	43	45	45	—	54
DEV	5	10	10	13	21	39	42	43	46	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
CAS
ROW
MOR
DEN
WEH
MAR
JEV
MUE
BAR
DEV
GUE
TIC
NAT
EVA
DAC
ERI
BUE
DIG
DRU
MAL

beats ↓ / →	CAS	ROW	MOR	DEN	WEH	MAR	JEV	MUE	BAR	DEV
CAS	—	66	65	72	82	92	92	92	93	95
ROW	34	—	50	58	72	87	87	87	88	90
MOR	35	50	—	57	72	86	86	86	89	90
DEN	28	42	43	—	65	82	82	82	85	87
WEH	18	28	28	35	—	70	72	72	76	79
MAR	8	13	14	18	30	—	52	53	57	61
JEV	8	13	14	18	28	48	—	50	55	58
MUE	8	13	14	18	28	47	50	—	55	57
BAR	7	12	11	15	24	43	45	45	—	54
DEV	5	10	10	13	21	39	42	43	46	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
CAS
ROW
MOR
DEN
WEH
MAR
JEV
MUE
BAR
DEV
GUE
TIC
NAT
EVA
DAC
ERI
BUE
DIG
DRU
MAL

beats ↓ / →	CAS	ROW	MOR	DEN	WEH	MAR	JEV	MUE	BAR	DEV
CAS	—	66	65	72	82	92	92	92	93	95
ROW	34	—	50	58	72	87	87	87	88	90
MOR	35	50	—	57	72	86	86	86	89	90
DEN	28	42	43	—	65	82	82	82	85	87
WEH	18	28	28	35	—	70	72	72	76	79
MAR	8	13	14	18	30	—	52	53	57	61
JEV	8	13	14	18	28	48	—	50	55	58
MUE	8	13	14	18	28	47	50	—	55	57
BAR	7	12	11	15	24	43	45	45	—	54
DEV	5	10	10	13	21	39	42	43	46	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
CAS
ROW
MOR
DEN
WEH
MAR
JEV
MUE
BAR
DEV
GUE
TIC
NAT
EVA
DAC
ERI
BUE
DIG
DRU
MAL

beats ↓ / →	CAS	ROW	MOR	DEN	WEH	MAR	JEV	MUE	BAR	DEV
CAS	—	66	65	72	82	92	92	92	93	95
ROW	34	—	50	58	72	87	87	87	88	90
MOR	35	50	—	57	72	86	86	86	89	90
DEN	28	42	43	—	65	82	82	82	85	87
WEH	18	28	28	35	—	70	72	72	76	79
MAR	8	13	14	18	30	—	52	53	57	61
JEV	8	13	14	18	28	48	—	50	55	58
MUE	8	13	14	18	28	47	50	—	55	57
BAR	7	12	11	15	24	43	45	45	—	54
DEV	5	10	10	13	21	39	42	43	46	—