Formula E · Season 2025-26
The 2025-26 Predictions Board
RaceIQ Formula E forecasts every round of the ABB FIA Formula E World Championship — every E-Prix, doubleheaders included — and projects the title fight to the end of the season. It’s built on the same MotorsportVerse core that powers RaceIQ F1, tuned for what makes Formula E different.
How it works
Live data → Model → Forecast
Formula E results
Race finishing orders, grids and championship standings ingested after every E-Prix — doubleheaders included.
The model
A venue-aware driver model — street walls and permanent circuits reward different things, and the forecast is tuned separately for each. It re-trains as the season unfolds, then weighs every car in the field.
Race forecast
Probabilities for win, podium, top six and top ten for every driver — calibrated on the season's real results.
Street circuits play by different rules
Most E-Prix run between walls on temporary street layouts, where grid position and clean racecraft matter far more than raw pace; a handful run on permanent circuits with real overtaking room. The forecast is tuned separately for the two — a probability earned on a street track means something different from one earned at a permanent venue, and the model treats them that way.
Doubleheaders: two rounds, one venue
Several weekends run two full championship rounds back-to-back at the same venue — Jeddah, Berlin, Monaco, Shanghai, Tokyo, London. Each race is forecast and graded as its own round, and by the second race the field has a full race of reads on the same corners; the calendar pairs those rounds so the weekend reads as one story.
What the numbers mean
For each race you get a win and podium probability per driver, an expected finishing range rather than a single guess, and a confidence read. For the season, the championship view shows each driver’s title odds and projected points — and who is still mathematically alive for the crown.
Honest about accuracy
Every forecast is made using only what was known before the round — no peeking at the result — and scored against what actually happened on the accuracy dashboard. Probabilities are calibrated on the season’s real results, separately for street and permanent circuits — and the dashboard shows the model’s health warnings as openly as its wins.
How to use this site
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Part of MotorsportVerse
RaceIQ Formula E is one project in the MotorsportVerse ecosystem — a shared, open-source core for forecasting any racing series. The same machinery runs RaceIQ F1; Formula E adds only what the championship genuinely needs.
Disclaimer
This site is a personal project published for educational and entertainment purposes. Forecasts are model outputs and should not be used for betting or any form of gambling. The project is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to Formula E, the FIA, or any team.