Round 17: London II — RaceIQ Formula E

Round 17

London II

Street CircuitDoubleheader · Race 2 of 2Result + Forecast

Venue

London II

United Kingdom

Weekend Format

Street Circuit

One scored race — the second of two at this venue.

Status

Classified

Source: snapshot

What The Model Sees

Auto-generated weekend angles

MODEL

M. Evans is the clear favourite at 38% — nobody else clears 20%.

DOUBLEHEADER

The second race of the London doubleheader weekend — drivers arrive with a race's worth of reads on these exact corners, on a walled street layout.

VERDICT

The forecast missed the winner, had 0/3 of the podium — typical miss 6.2 places.

Official Result

Race Podium

Result loaded

N. de Vries

Mahindra Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P5–P16

Predicted P12

Race Winner

T. Barnard

DS Penske

Win probability

0.0%

Range P6–P17

Predicted P14

E. Mortara

Mahindra Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P2–P11

Predicted P5

Probability Layer

Win vs Podium

Chaotic Race

Win vs podium probability

Evans

38%82%

Dennis

20%60%

Wehrlein

8%27%

Costa

7%26%

Mortara

5%21%

Rowland

4%16%

Martí

3%12%

Vergne

3%11%

Müller

2%8%

Cassidy

2%7%

Ticktum

2%6%

Vries

2%6%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

P	Driver	Win	Podium	Range	Confidence	Actual
1	M. Evans Jaguar TCS Racing	38%	82%	P1–P4	High	P4
2	J. Dennis Andretti	20%	60%	P1–P6	High	P18
3	P. Wehrlein Porsche	8%	27%	P2–P10	High	P14
4	A. Félix da Costa Jaguar TCS Racing	7%	26%	P2–P10	High	P15
5	E. Mortara Mahindra Racing	5%	21%	P2–P11	Medium	P3
6	O. Rowland Nissan	4%	16%	P3–P12	Medium	P9
7	J. M. Martí CUPRA KIRO	3%	12%	P3–P14	Medium	P8
8	J-É. Vergne Citroën Racing	3%	11%	P3–P14	Medium	P7
9	N. Müller Porsche	2%	8%	P4–P15	Medium	P12
10	N. Cassidy Citroën Racing	2%	7%	P4–P15	Medium	P6
11	D. Ticktum CUPRA KIRO	2%	6%	P5–P16	Medium	P16
12	N. de Vries Mahindra Racing	2%	6%	P5–P16	Medium	P2
13	S. Buemi Envision Racing	1%	4%	P6–P17	Medium	P5
14	T. Barnard DS Penske	1%	4%	P6–P17	Medium	P1
15	J. Eriksson Envision Racing	1%	3%	P7–P18	Medium	—
16	M. Günther DS Penske	1%	2%	P9–P19	Medium	P11
17	F. Drugovich Andretti	0%	2%	P10–P19	Medium	P13
18	L. Di Grassi Lola Yamaha ABT	0%	1%	P11–P19	High	—
19	N. Nato Nissan	0%	0%	P15–P20	High	P10
20	Z. Maloney Lola Yamaha ABT	0%	0%	P16–P20	High	P17

Model Forecast

Likeliest Winner

M. Evans

38.5% projected win

High-Confidence Calls

Drivers Forecast

Circuit Type

Street

Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.

Circuit & Telemetry

Street Circuit

London II

Layout pending

Circuit layout unavailable

A temporary street layout — tight walls, low grip off-line and little room for error. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, energy traces) isn’t published for Formula E, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.

Charts

Win vs podium probability

Evans

38%82%

Dennis

20%60%

Wehrlein

8%27%

Costa

7%26%

Mortara

5%21%

Rowland

4%16%

Martí

3%12%

Vergne

3%11%

Müller

2%8%

Cassidy

2%7%

Ticktum

2%6%

Vries

2%6%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

Win market by round

Predicted vs actual

Flatter lines = closer calls. 0 exact, 7 of 18 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.

Finish-position likelihood

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
EVA
DEN
WEH
DAC
MOR
ROW
MAR
JEV
MUE
CAS
TIC
DEV
BUE
BAR
ERI
GUE
DRU
DIG
NAT
MAL

Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.

Head-to-head — P(row beats column)

beats ↓ / →	EVA	DEN	WEH	DAC	MOR	ROW	MAR	JEV	MUE	CAS
EVA	—	66	84	84	89	90	93	94	95	95
DEN	34	—	73	74	78	83	87	87	90	92
WEH	16	27	—	52	57	64	72	73	78	80
DAC	16	26	48	—	56	62	69	71	77	79
MOR	11	22	43	44	—	56	67	66	72	74
ROW	10	17	36	38	44	—	59	60	67	69
MAR	7	13	28	31	33	41	—	51	57	59
JEV	6	13	27	29	34	40	49	—	57	60
MUE	5	10	22	23	28	33	43	43	—	54
CAS	5	8	20	21	26	31	41	40	46	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
EVA
DEN
WEH
DAC
MOR
ROW
MAR
JEV
MUE
CAS
TIC
DEV
BUE
BAR
ERI
GUE
DRU
DIG
NAT
MAL

beats ↓ / →	EVA	DEN	WEH	DAC	MOR	ROW	MAR	JEV	MUE	CAS
EVA	—	66	84	84	89	90	93	94	95	95
DEN	34	—	73	74	78	83	87	87	90	92
WEH	16	27	—	52	57	64	72	73	78	80
DAC	16	26	48	—	56	62	69	71	77	79
MOR	11	22	43	44	—	56	67	66	72	74
ROW	10	17	36	38	44	—	59	60	67	69
MAR	7	13	28	31	33	41	—	51	57	59
JEV	6	13	27	29	34	40	49	—	57	60
MUE	5	10	22	23	28	33	43	43	—	54
CAS	5	8	20	21	26	31	41	40	46	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
EVA
DEN
WEH
DAC
MOR
ROW
MAR
JEV
MUE
CAS
TIC
DEV
BUE
BAR
ERI
GUE
DRU
DIG
NAT
MAL

beats ↓ / →	EVA	DEN	WEH	DAC	MOR	ROW	MAR	JEV	MUE	CAS
EVA	—	66	84	84	89	90	93	94	95	95
DEN	34	—	73	74	78	83	87	87	90	92
WEH	16	27	—	52	57	64	72	73	78	80
DAC	16	26	48	—	56	62	69	71	77	79
MOR	11	22	43	44	—	56	67	66	72	74
ROW	10	17	36	38	44	—	59	60	67	69
MAR	7	13	28	31	33	41	—	51	57	59
JEV	6	13	27	29	34	40	49	—	57	60
MUE	5	10	22	23	28	33	43	43	—	54
CAS	5	8	20	21	26	31	41	40	46	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
EVA
DEN
WEH
DAC
MOR
ROW
MAR
JEV
MUE
CAS
TIC
DEV
BUE
BAR
ERI
GUE
DRU
DIG
NAT
MAL

beats ↓ / →	EVA	DEN	WEH	DAC	MOR	ROW	MAR	JEV	MUE	CAS
EVA	—	66	84	84	89	90	93	94	95	95
DEN	34	—	73	74	78	83	87	87	90	92
WEH	16	27	—	52	57	64	72	73	78	80
DAC	16	26	48	—	56	62	69	71	77	79
MOR	11	22	43	44	—	56	67	66	72	74
ROW	10	17	36	38	44	—	59	60	67	69
MAR	7	13	28	31	33	41	—	51	57	59
JEV	6	13	27	29	34	40	49	—	57	60
MUE	5	10	22	23	28	33	43	43	—	54
CAS	5	8	20	21	26	31	41	40	46	—