Forecast · Round 5
Next-round forecast
Win and podium probability for every car, plus the predicted finishing order. Each class is its own race — switch between them below.
Alessandro PIER GUIDI · James CALADO · Antonio GIOVINAZZI
Win
16.2%
Podium
46.1%
Kevin MAGNUSSEN · Raffaele MARCIELLO · Dries VANTHOOR
Win
16.7%
Podium
45.0%
Will STEVENS · Norman NATO
Win
9.3%
Podium
27.9%
Hypercar · win & podium probability
Ordered by win chance. The faint bar behind each is that car’s podium chance.
#15 BMW M Team WRT
BMW
#51 Ferrari AF Corse
Ferrari
#12 Cadillac Hertz Team Jota
Cadillac
#38 Cadillac Hertz Team Jota
Cadillac
#20 BMW M Team WRT
BMW
#50 Ferrari AF Corse
Ferrari
#83 AF Corse
Ferrari
#007 Aston Martin Thor Team
Aston Martin
#7 Toyota Racing
Toyota
#35 Alpine Endurance Team
Alpine
#009 Aston Martin Thor Team
Aston Martin
#36 Alpine Endurance Team
Alpine
#8 Toyota Racing
Toyota
#94 Peugeot Totalenergies
Peugeot
#93 Peugeot Totalenergies
Peugeot
#17 Genesis Magma Racing
Genesis
#19 Genesis Magma Racing
Genesis
Probabilities reflect the forecast at publication and are calibrated on the season’s real results so far. Predicted finishing order is the model’s single most likely result — the probabilities describe the spread around it.