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Round 04

Austria flagAustria

Sprint + FeatureResult + Forecast

Venue

Austria

Austria

Weekend Format

FeatureSprint

Two scored races each round.

Status

Classified

Source: snapshot

What The Model Sees

Auto-generated weekend angles

MODEL

Model favours B. Del Pino (18%) over U. Ugochukwu (17%) in the feature race.

VERDICT

The feature race forecast missed the winner, had 1/3 of the podium — typical miss 6.8 places.

Official Result

Race Podium

Result loaded
U. Ugochukwu
P2
U. Ugochukwu
Campos Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P1–P9

Predicted P1

Race Winner
N. Strømsted
P1
N. Strømsted
TRIDENT

Win probability

0.0%

Range P4–P18

Predicted P10

F. Slater
P3
F. Slater
TRIDENT

Win probability

0.0%

Range P2–P13

Predicted P5

Probability Layer

Win vs Podium

Chaotic Race

Win vs podium probability

UGOUgochukwu
17%48%
BDEPino
18%45%
RIVRivera
9%28%
BADBadoer
9%27%
SLASlater
7%24%
NAENaël
6%20%
EDEDeligny
6%18%
YAMYamakoshi
5%15%
KATKato
3%10%
STRStrømsted
3%9%
WHAWharton
3%8%
TAPTaponen
3%9%
WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder
PDriverActual
1
UGO

U. Ugochukwu

Campos Racing

P2
2
BDE

B. Del Pino

Van Amersfoort Racing

P17
3
RIV

E. Rivera

Campos Racing

P18
4
BAD

B. Badoer

Rodin Motorsport

P21
5
SLA

F. Slater

TRIDENT

P3
6
NAE

T. Naël

Campos Racing

P15
7
EDE

E. Deligny

Van Amersfoort Racing

P12
8
YAM

H. Yamakoshi

Van Amersfoort Racing

P8
9
KAT

T. Kato

ART Grand Prix

P6
10
STR

N. Strømsted

TRIDENT

P1
11
WHA

J. Wharton

PREMA Racing

P11
12
TAP

T. Taponen

MP Motorsport

P7
13
CLE

P. Clerot

Rodin Motorsport

P4
14
XIE

G. Xie

DAMS Lucas Oil

P25
15
GIU

A. Giusti

MP Motorsport

P22
16
GLA

M. Gładysz

ART Grand Prix

—
17
LE

K. Le

ART Grand Prix

P10
18
SHA

L. Sharp

PREMA Racing

P13
19
HAN

S. Hanna

AIX Racing

P19
20
COL

M. Colnaghi

MP Motorsport

P20
21
NAK

J. Nakamura

Hitech TGR

P5
22
LAC

N. Lacorte

DAMS Lucas Oil

P9
23
MCL

F. McLaughlin

Hitech TGR

P24
24
GAR

J. Garfias

PREMA Racing

P23
25
DEP

M. De Palo

TRIDENT

P14
26
BAR

F. Barrichello

AIX Racing

—
27
HO

C. Ho

Rodin Motorsport

P16
28
DAV

Y. David

AIX Racing

—
29
BHI

N. Bhirombhakdi

DAMS Lucas Oil

P26
30
SHI

W. Shin

Hitech TGR

—
Model Forecast

Likeliest Winner

U. Ugochukwu

16.6% projected win

High-Confidence Calls

11

Drivers Forecast

30

Race

Feature race

Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.

Venue & circuit

Circuit

Austria

Map unavailable

Circuit map unavailable

A circuit layout is not available for Austria.

No circuit outline is available for this event. An interactive circuit explorer requires a reviewed layout and is not available here. Per-lap speed, sector and tyre-stint data are unavailable here.

Charts

Win vs podium probability

UGOUgochukwu
17%48%
BDEPino
18%45%
RIVRivera
9%28%
BADBadoer
9%27%
SLASlater
7%24%
NAENaël
6%20%
EDEDeligny
6%18%
YAMYamakoshi
5%15%
KATKato
3%10%
STRStrømsted
3%9%
WHAWharton
3%8%
TAPTaponen
3%9%
WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

Win market by round — feature race

Predicted vs actual — feature race

PREDICTEDACTUALU. Ugochukwu: predicted P1 → finished P2B. Del Pino: predicted P2 → finished P17E. Rivera: predicted P3 → finished P18B. Badoer: predicted P4 → finished P21F. Slater: predicted P5 → finished P3T. Naël: predicted P6 → finished P15E. Deligny: predicted P7 → finished P12H. Yamakoshi: predicted P8 → finished P8T. Kato: predicted P9 → finished P6N. Strømsted: predicted P10 → finished P1J. Wharton: predicted P11 → finished P11T. Taponen: predicted P12 → finished P7P. Clerot: predicted P13 → finished P4G. Xie: predicted P14 → finished P25A. Giusti: predicted P15 → finished P22K. Le: predicted P17 → finished P10L. Sharp: predicted P18 → finished P13S. Hanna: predicted P19 → finished P19M. Colnaghi: predicted P20 → finished P20J. Nakamura: predicted P21 → finished P5N. Lacorte: predicted P22 → finished P9F. McLaughlin: predicted P23 → finished P24J. Garfias: predicted P24 → finished P23M. De Palo: predicted P25 → finished P14C. Ho: predicted P27 → finished P16N. Bhirombhakdi: predicted P29 → finished P26P1 UGOP2 BDEP3 RIVP4 BADP5 SLAP6 NAEP7 EDEP8 YAMP9 KATP10 STRP11 WHAP12 TAPP13 CLEP14 XIEP15 GIUP16 GLA ·NCP17 LEP18 SHAP19 HANP20 COLP21 NAKP22 LACP23 MCLP24 GARP25 DEPP26 BAR ·NCP27 HOP28 DAV ·NCP29 BHIP30 SHI ·NCP1 STRP2 UGOP3 SLAP4 CLEP5 NAKP6 KATP7 TAPP8 YAMP9 LACP10 LEP11 WHAP12 EDEP13 SHAP14 DEPP15 NAEP16 HOP17 BDEP18 RIVP19 HANP20 COLP21 BADP22 GIUP23 GARP24 MCLP25 XIEP26 BHI

Flatter lines = closer calls. 4 exact, 10 of 26 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.

Finish-position likelihood

123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
UGO
BDE
RIV
BAD
SLA
NAE
EDE
YAM
KAT
STR
WHA
TAP
CLE
XIE
GIU
GLA
LE
SHA
HAN
COL
NAK
LAC
MCL
GAR
DEP
BAR
HO
DAV
BHI
SHI

Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.

Head-to-head — P(row beats column)

beats ↓ / →UGOBDERIVBADSLANAEEDEYAMKATSTR
UGO—526767707375788586
BDE48—6464687273778485
RIV3336—51565861657577
BAD333649—545658637475
SLA30324446—5355597073
NAE2728424447—53576771
EDE252739424547—546569
YAM22233537414346—6166
KAT1516252630333539—54
STR141523252729313546—