Round 02
Monaco
Venue
Monaco
Monaco
Weekend Format
Two scored races each round.
Status
Classified
Source: snapshot
Auto-generated weekend angles
Model favours B. Del Pino (14%) over T. Kato (11%) in the feature race.
The feature race forecast missed the winner, had 0/3 of the podium — typical miss 7.1 places.
Official Result
Race Podium
Win probability
0.0%
Range P4–P20
Predicted P10
Win probability
0.0%
Range P4–P21
Predicted P11
Win probability
0.0%
Range P2–P14
Predicted P6
Probability Layer
Win vs Podium
Win vs podium probability
Pino
Kato
Ugochukwu
Deligny
GładyszSlater
Wharton
Clerot
NakamuraNaëlBadoer
Rivera| P | Driver | Win | Podium | Range | Confidence | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Del Pino Van Amersfoort Racing | 14% | 38% | P1–P11 | High | P6 |
| 2 | T. Kato ART Grand Prix | 11% | 32% | P1–P12 | High | P11 |
| 3 | U. Ugochukwu Campos Racing | 10% | 30% | P2–P12 | High | P4 |
| 4 | E. Deligny Van Amersfoort Racing | 10% | 29% | P2–P12 | High | P14 |
| 5 | M. Gładysz ART Grand Prix | 8% | 25% | P2–P14 | High | P24 |
| 6 | F. Slater TRIDENT | 8% | 25% | P2–P14 | High | P3 |
| 7 | J. Wharton PREMA Racing | 4% | 13% | P3–P19 | High | P18 |
| 8 | P. Clerot Rodin Motorsport | 4% | 12% | P3–P19 | High | P8 |
| 9 | J. Nakamura Hitech TGR | 4% | 12% | P3–P19 | High | P23 |
| 10 | T. Naël Campos Racing | 3% | 10% | P4–P20 | High | P2 |
| 11 | B. Badoer Rodin Motorsport | 3% | 9% | P4–P21 | Medium | P1 |
| 12 | E. Rivera Campos Racing | 2% | 8% | P4–P22 | Medium | P5 |
| 13 |  H. Yamakoshi Van Amersfoort Racing | 2% | 7% | P5–P22 | Medium | P13 |
| 14 |  T. Taponen MP Motorsport | 2% | 7% | P5–P22 | Medium | — |
| 15 |  F. McLaughlin Hitech TGR | 2% | 6% | P5–P24 | Low | P21 |
| 16 |  L. Sharp PREMA Racing | 2% | 6% | P6–P25 | Low | P12 |
| 17 |  S. Hanna AIX Racing | 1% | 4% | P7–P26 | Low | — |
| 18 |  N. Strømsted TRIDENT | 1% | 4% | P7–P26 | Low | P10 |
| 19 |  A. Giusti MP Motorsport | 1% | 3% | P7–P26 | Low | P7 |
| 20 |  M. Colnaghi MP Motorsport | 1% | 4% | P8–P27 | Low | P19 |
| 21 |  C. Ho Rodin Motorsport | 1% | 3% | P9–P28 | Low | P16 |
| 22 |  G. Xie DAMS Lucas Oil | 1% | 2% | P10–P28 | Medium | P9 |
| 23 |  Y. David AIX Racing | 1% | 2% | P11–P29 | Medium | P20 |
| 24 |  N. Lacorte DAMS Lucas Oil | 0% | 2% | P12–P29 | Medium | — |
| 25 |  F. Barrichello AIX Racing | 0% | 2% | P11–P29 | Medium | — |
| 26 |  W. Shin Hitech TGR | 0% | 2% | P12–P29 | Medium | P26 |
| 27 |  M. De Palo TRIDENT | 1% | 1% | P13–P30 | Medium | P25 |
| 28 |  K. Le ART Grand Prix | 0% | 1% | P13–P30 | Medium | P17 |
| 29 |  J. Garfias PREMA Racing | 0% | 1% | P15–P30 | High | P15 |
| 30 |  N. Bhirombhakdi DAMS Lucas Oil | 0% | 1% | P17–P30 | High | P22 |
Model Forecast
Likeliest Winner
B. Del Pino
14.4% projected win
High-Confidence Calls
12
Drivers Forecast
30
Race
Feature race
Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.
Circuit & Telemetry
Circuit
Monaco
F3 races the same circuits as the lead category; layout geometry is shared. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, tyre stints) isn’t published for F3, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.
Charts
Win vs podium probability
PinoKatoUgochukwuDelignyGładyszSlaterWhartonClerotNakamuraNaëlBadoerRiveraWin market by round — feature race
Predicted vs actual — feature race
Flatter lines = closer calls. 3 exact, 8 of 26 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.
Finish-position likelihood
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| BHI |
Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.
Head-to-head — P(row beats column)
| beats ↓ / → | BDE | KAT | UGO | EDE | GLA | SLA | WHA | CLE | NAK | NAE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDE | — | 56 | 56 | 57 | 61 | 62 | 76 | 78 | 79 | 82 |
| KAT | 44 | — | 51 | 52 | 57 | 57 | 72 | 74 | 76 | 77 |
| UGO | 44 | 49 | — | 51 | 55 | 56 | 72 | 74 | 75 | 78 |
| EDE | 43 | 48 | 50 | — | 55 | 55 | 72 | 73 | 74 | 77 |
| GLA | 39 | 43 | 45 | 45 | — | 52 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 73 |
| SLA | 38 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 48 | — | 66 | 69 | 70 | 72 |
| WHA | 24 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 32 | 34 | — | 53 | 54 | 56 |
| CLE | 22 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 31 | 31 | 47 | — | 52 | 54 |
| NAK | 21 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 46 | 48 | — | 53 |
| NAE | 18 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 44 | 46 | 47 | — |