Round 6: Austria — RaceIQ F2

Round 06

Austria

Sprint + FeatureResult + Forecast

Venue

Austria

Weekend Format

FeatureSprint

Two scored races each round.

Status

Classified

Source: snapshot

What The Model Sees

Auto-generated weekend angles

MODEL

Model favours Gabriele Minì (27%) over Alex Dunne (18%) in the feature race.

VERDICT

The feature race forecast missed the winner, had 2/3 of the podium — typical miss 3.8 places.

Official Result

Race Podium

Result loaded

Gabriele Minì

MP Motorsport

Win probability

0.0%

Range P1–P6

Predicted P1

Race Winner

Nikola Tsolov

Campos Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P1–P9

Predicted P3

Oliver Goethe

MP Motorsport

Win probability

0.0%

Range P6–P17

Predicted P11

Probability Layer

Win vs Podium

Chaotic Race

Win vs podium probability

Minì

27%66%

Dunne

18%50%

Tsolov

12%37%

León

10%33%

Câmara

9%30%

Beganovic

8%25%

Maini

5%17%

Hoepen

2%7%

Stenshorne

2%5%

Inthraphuvasak

2%6%

Goethe

1%4%

Bilinski

1%3%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

P	Driver	Win	Podium	Range	Confidence	Actual
1	Gabriele Minì MP Motorsport	27%	66%	P1–P6	High	P2
2	Alex Dunne Rodin Motorsport	18%	50%	P1–P7	High	P6
3	Nikola Tsolov Campos Racing	12%	37%	P1–P9	High	P1
4	Noel León Campos Racing	10%	33%	P2–P9	High	P7
5	Rafael Câmara Invicta Racing	9%	30%	P2–P9	High	P4
6	Dino Beganovic DAMS Lucas Oil	8%	25%	P2–P10	High	P13
7	Kush Maini ART Grand Prix	5%	17%	P2–P12	Medium	P12
8	Laurens van Hoepen TRIDENT	2%	7%	P4–P15	Medium	P8
9	Martinius Stenshorne Rodin Motorsport	2%	5%	P5–P16	Medium	P19
10	Tasanapol Inthraphuvasak ART Grand Prix	2%	6%	P5–P16	Medium	P5
11	Oliver Goethe MP Motorsport	1%	4%	P6–P17	Medium	P3
12	Roman Bilinski DAMS Lucas Oil	1%	3%	P6–P18	Low	P10
13	Joshua Dürksen Invicta Racing	1%	3%	P7–P18	Medium	P9
14	Ritomo Miyata Hitech TGR	1%	3%	P7–P18	Medium	P15
15	Sebastián Montoya PREMA Racing	1%	4%	P7–P18	Medium	—
16	Cian Herta Hitech TGR	1%	2%	P8–P19	Medium	P18
17	John Bennett TRIDENT	0%	1%	P10–P21	Medium	P11
18	Nicola Varrone Van Amersfoort Racing	0%	1%	P10–P21	Medium	P16
19	Enzo Fittipaldi AIX Racing	0%	1%	P12–P21	Medium	P14
20	Rafael Villagómez Van Amersfoort Racing	0%	1%	P12–P21	Medium	—
21	Mari Boya PREMA Racing	0%	0%	P14–P22	High	—
22	Callum Shields AIX Racing	0%	0%	P18–P22	High	P17

Model Forecast

Likeliest Winner

Gabriele Minì

26.6% projected win

High-Confidence Calls

Drivers Forecast

Race

Feature race

Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.

Circuit & Telemetry

Circuit

Austria

Vector layout

F2 races the same circuits as the lead category; layout geometry is shared. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, tyre stints) isn’t published for F2, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.

Charts

Win vs podium probability

Minì

27%66%

Dunne

18%50%

Tsolov

12%37%

León

10%33%

Câmara

9%30%

Beganovic

8%25%

Maini

5%17%

Hoepen

2%7%

Stenshorne

2%5%

Inthraphuvasak

2%6%

Goethe

1%4%

Bilinski

1%3%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

Win market by round — feature race

Predicted vs actual — feature race

Flatter lines = closer calls. 1 exact, 9 of 19 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.

Finish-position likelihood

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
MIN
DUN
TSO
LEO
CAM
BEG
MAI
VAN
STE
INT
GOE
BIL
DUR
MIY
MON
HER
BEN
VAR
FIT
VIL
BOY
SHI

Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.

Head-to-head — P(row beats column)

beats ↓ / →	MIN	DUN	TSO	LEO	CAM	BEG	MAI	VAN	STE	INT
MIN	—	60	69	72	74	77	84	93	95	94
DUN	40	—	60	63	64	71	78	90	92	92
TSO	31	40	—	54	56	62	71	85	88	88
LEO	28	37	46	—	51	59	68	83	86	87
CAM	26	36	44	49	—	56	68	83	87	86
BEG	23	29	38	41	44	—	60	78	82	82
MAI	16	22	29	32	32	40	—	68	74	74
VAN	7	10	15	17	18	22	32	—	57	57
STE	5	8	12	14	13	18	26	43	—	50
INT	6	8	12	13	14	18	26	43	50	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
MIN
DUN
TSO
LEO
CAM
BEG
MAI
VAN
STE
INT
GOE
BIL
DUR
MIY
MON
HER
BEN
VAR
FIT
VIL
BOY
SHI

beats ↓ / →	MIN	DUN	TSO	LEO	CAM	BEG	MAI	VAN	STE	INT
MIN	—	60	69	72	74	77	84	93	95	94
DUN	40	—	60	63	64	71	78	90	92	92
TSO	31	40	—	54	56	62	71	85	88	88
LEO	28	37	46	—	51	59	68	83	86	87
CAM	26	36	44	49	—	56	68	83	87	86
BEG	23	29	38	41	44	—	60	78	82	82
MAI	16	22	29	32	32	40	—	68	74	74
VAN	7	10	15	17	18	22	32	—	57	57
STE	5	8	12	14	13	18	26	43	—	50
INT	6	8	12	13	14	18	26	43	50	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
MIN
DUN
TSO
LEO
CAM
BEG
MAI
VAN
STE
INT
GOE
BIL
DUR
MIY
MON
HER
BEN
VAR
FIT
VIL
BOY
SHI

beats ↓ / →	MIN	DUN	TSO	LEO	CAM	BEG	MAI	VAN	STE	INT
MIN	—	60	69	72	74	77	84	93	95	94
DUN	40	—	60	63	64	71	78	90	92	92
TSO	31	40	—	54	56	62	71	85	88	88
LEO	28	37	46	—	51	59	68	83	86	87
CAM	26	36	44	49	—	56	68	83	87	86
BEG	23	29	38	41	44	—	60	78	82	82
MAI	16	22	29	32	32	40	—	68	74	74
VAN	7	10	15	17	18	22	32	—	57	57
STE	5	8	12	14	13	18	26	43	—	50
INT	6	8	12	13	14	18	26	43	50	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
MIN
DUN
TSO
LEO
CAM
BEG
MAI
VAN
STE
INT
GOE
BIL
DUR
MIY
MON
HER
BEN
VAR
FIT
VIL
BOY
SHI

beats ↓ / →	MIN	DUN	TSO	LEO	CAM	BEG	MAI	VAN	STE	INT
MIN	—	60	69	72	74	77	84	93	95	94
DUN	40	—	60	63	64	71	78	90	92	92
TSO	31	40	—	54	56	62	71	85	88	88
LEO	28	37	46	—	51	59	68	83	86	87
CAM	26	36	44	49	—	56	68	83	87	86
BEG	23	29	38	41	44	—	60	78	82	82
MAI	16	22	29	32	32	40	—	68	74	74
VAN	7	10	15	17	18	22	32	—	57	57
STE	5	8	12	14	13	18	26	43	—	50
INT	6	8	12	13	14	18	26	43	50	—