Round 2: Miami — RaceIQ F2

Round 02

🏁Miami

Sprint + FeatureResult + Forecast

Venue

Miami

USA

Weekend Format

FeatureSprint

Two scored races each round.

Status

Classified

Source: snapshot

What The Model Sees

Auto-generated weekend angles

MODEL

Wide-open feature race: Alex Dunne leads the win market at just 13%, with Rafael Câmara right behind on 11%.

VERDICT

The feature race forecast missed the winner, had 1/3 of the podium — typical miss 6.8 places.

Official Result

Race Podium

Result loaded

Dino Beganovic

DAMS Lucas Oil

Win probability

0.0%

Range P13–P22

Predicted P20

Race Winner

Gabriele Minì

MP Motorsport

Win probability

0.0%

Range P2–P15

Predicted P8

Rafael Câmara

Invicta Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P1–P11

Predicted P2

Probability Layer

Win vs Podium

Chaotic Race

Win vs podium probability

Dunne

13%36%

Câmara

11%30%

Hoepen

10%31%

Miyata

10%30%

Inthraphuvasak

9%28%

Dürksen

8%24%

Tsolov

7%19%

Minì

6%18%

Montoya

4%13%

Goethe

4%12%

León

3%11%

Stenshorne

3%10%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

P	Driver	Win	Podium	Range	Confidence	Actual
1	Alex Dunne Rodin Motorsport	13%	36%	P1–P11	High	—
2	Rafael Câmara Invicta Racing	11%	30%	P1–P11	High	P3
3	Laurens van Hoepen TRIDENT	10%	31%	P1–P12	High	P11
4	Ritomo Miyata Hitech TGR	10%	30%	P2–P12	High	P6
5	Tasanapol Inthraphuvasak ART Grand Prix	9%	28%	P2–P12	High	P15
6	Joshua Dürksen Invicta Racing	8%	24%	P2–P13	High	P10
7	Nikola Tsolov Campos Racing	7%	19%	P2–P15	Medium	—
8	Gabriele Minì MP Motorsport	6%	18%	P2–P15	Medium	P1
9	Sebastián Montoya PREMA Racing	4%	13%	P3–P17	Low	P9
10	Oliver Goethe MP Motorsport	4%	12%	P3–P17	Low	—
11	Noel León Campos Racing	3%	11%	P3–P17	Low	P4
12	Martinius Stenshorne Rodin Motorsport	3%	10%	P4–P17	Medium	—
13	Cian Herta Hitech TGR	3%	9%	P4–P18	Low	P8
14	Roman Bilinski DAMS Lucas Oil	2%	7%	P4–P18	Low	—
15	Rafael Villagómez Van Amersfoort Racing	2%	6%	P6–P19	Medium	—
16	Mari Boya PREMA Racing	1%	5%	P6–P19	Medium	P7
17	Kush Maini ART Grand Prix	1%	4%	P7–P20	Medium	P5
18	Enzo Fittipaldi AIX Racing	1%	3%	P9–P21	Medium	P12
19	John Bennett TRIDENT	0%	2%	P11–P22	High	P14
20	Dino Beganovic DAMS Lucas Oil	1%	1%	P13–P22	High	P2
21	Nicola Varrone Van Amersfoort Racing	0%	1%	P14–P22	High	P13
22	Callum Shields AIX Racing	0%	1%	P15–P22	High	—

Model Forecast

Likeliest Winner

Alex Dunne

13.1% projected win

High-Confidence Calls

Drivers Forecast

Race

Feature race

Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.

Circuit & Telemetry

Circuit

Miami

Layout pending

Circuit layout unavailable

F2 races the same circuits as the lead category; layout geometry is shared. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, tyre stints) isn’t published for F2, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.

Charts

Win vs podium probability

Dunne

13%36%

Câmara

11%30%

Hoepen

10%31%

Miyata

10%30%

Inthraphuvasak

9%28%

Dürksen

8%24%

Tsolov

7%19%

Minì

6%18%

Montoya

4%13%

Goethe

4%12%

León

3%11%

Stenshorne

3%10%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

Win market by round — feature race

Predicted vs actual — feature race

Flatter lines = closer calls. 1 exact, 3 of 15 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.

Finish-position likelihood

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
DUN
CAM
VAN
MIY
INT
DUR
TSO
MIN
MON
GOE
LEO
STE
HER
BIL
VIL
BOY
MAI
FIT
BEN
BEG
VAR
SHI

Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.

Head-to-head — P(row beats column)

beats ↓ / →	DUN	CAM	VAN	MIY	INT	DUR	TSO	MIN	MON	GOE
DUN	—	55	54	56	58	62	68	68	77	77
CAM	45	—	51	52	54	58	64	65	74	75
VAN	46	49	—	51	53	57	62	63	73	73
MIY	44	48	49	—	52	56	62	63	73	73
INT	42	46	47	48	—	54	60	60	71	71
DUR	39	42	43	44	46	—	56	58	67	68
TSO	32	36	38	38	40	44	—	51	62	63
MIN	32	35	37	37	40	42	49	—	61	62
MON	23	26	27	27	29	33	38	39	—	50
GOE	23	25	27	27	29	32	37	38	50	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
DUN
CAM
VAN
MIY
INT
DUR
TSO
MIN
MON
GOE
LEO
STE
HER
BIL
VIL
BOY
MAI
FIT
BEN
BEG
VAR
SHI

beats ↓ / →	DUN	CAM	VAN	MIY	INT	DUR	TSO	MIN	MON	GOE
DUN	—	55	54	56	58	62	68	68	77	77
CAM	45	—	51	52	54	58	64	65	74	75
VAN	46	49	—	51	53	57	62	63	73	73
MIY	44	48	49	—	52	56	62	63	73	73
INT	42	46	47	48	—	54	60	60	71	71
DUR	39	42	43	44	46	—	56	58	67	68
TSO	32	36	38	38	40	44	—	51	62	63
MIN	32	35	37	37	40	42	49	—	61	62
MON	23	26	27	27	29	33	38	39	—	50
GOE	23	25	27	27	29	32	37	38	50	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
DUN
CAM
VAN
MIY
INT
DUR
TSO
MIN
MON
GOE
LEO
STE
HER
BIL
VIL
BOY
MAI
FIT
BEN
BEG
VAR
SHI

beats ↓ / →	DUN	CAM	VAN	MIY	INT	DUR	TSO	MIN	MON	GOE
DUN	—	55	54	56	58	62	68	68	77	77
CAM	45	—	51	52	54	58	64	65	74	75
VAN	46	49	—	51	53	57	62	63	73	73
MIY	44	48	49	—	52	56	62	63	73	73
INT	42	46	47	48	—	54	60	60	71	71
DUR	39	42	43	44	46	—	56	58	67	68
TSO	32	36	38	38	40	44	—	51	62	63
MIN	32	35	37	37	40	42	49	—	61	62
MON	23	26	27	27	29	33	38	39	—	50
GOE	23	25	27	27	29	32	37	38	50	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
DUN
CAM
VAN
MIY
INT
DUR
TSO
MIN
MON
GOE
LEO
STE
HER
BIL
VIL
BOY
MAI
FIT
BEN
BEG
VAR
SHI

beats ↓ / →	DUN	CAM	VAN	MIY	INT	DUR	TSO	MIN	MON	GOE
DUN	—	55	54	56	58	62	68	68	77	77
CAM	45	—	51	52	54	58	64	65	74	75
VAN	46	49	—	51	53	57	62	63	73	73
MIY	44	48	49	—	52	56	62	63	73	73
INT	42	46	47	48	—	54	60	60	71	71
DUR	39	42	43	44	46	—	56	58	67	68
TSO	32	36	38	38	40	44	—	51	62	63
MIN	32	35	37	37	40	42	49	—	61	62
MON	23	26	27	27	29	33	38	39	—	50
GOE	23	25	27	27	29	32	37	38	50	—