Round 1: Australia — RaceIQ F2

Round 01

Australia

Sprint + FeatureResult + Forecast

Venue

Australia

Weekend Format

FeatureSprint

Two scored races each round.

Status

Classified

Source: snapshot

What The Model Sees

Auto-generated weekend angles

MODEL

Wide-open feature race: Dino Beganovic leads the win market at just 5%, with Kush Maini right behind on 5%.

VERDICT

The feature race forecast missed the winner, had 1/3 of the podium — typical miss 5.7 places.

Official Result

Race Podium

Result loaded

Rafael Câmara

Invicta Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P3–P20

Predicted P11

Race Winner

Nikola Tsolov

Campos Racing

Win probability

0.0%

Range P3–P20

Predicted P3

Laurens van Hoepen

TRIDENT

Win probability

0.0%

Range P3–P20

Predicted P8

Probability Layer

Win vs Podium

Chaotic Race

Win vs podium probability

Bilinski

5%14%

Minì

4%14%

Tsolov

5%14%

Miyata

5%13%

Shields

5%14%

Beganovic

5%15%

Goethe

4%14%

Hoepen

4%14%

Maini

5%14%

Villagómez

5%14%

Câmara

4%13%

León

4%13%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

P	Driver	Win	Podium	Range	Confidence	Actual
1	Roman Bilinski DAMS Lucas Oil	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P12
2	Gabriele Minì MP Motorsport	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P8
3	Nikola Tsolov Campos Racing	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P1
4	Ritomo Miyata Hitech TGR	5%	13%	P3–P20	High	P5
5	Callum Shields AIX Racing	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P19
6	Dino Beganovic DAMS Lucas Oil	5%	15%	P3–P20	High	—
7	Oliver Goethe MP Motorsport	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P4
8	Laurens van Hoepen TRIDENT	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P3
9	Kush Maini ART Grand Prix	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P16
10	Rafael Villagómez Van Amersfoort Racing	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P11
11	Rafael Câmara Invicta Racing	4%	13%	P3–P20	High	P2
12	Noel León Campos Racing	4%	13%	P3–P20	High	P14
13	Tasanapol Inthraphuvasak ART Grand Prix	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P6
14	Nicola Varrone Van Amersfoort Racing	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P17
15	Sebastián Montoya PREMA Racing	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P9
16	Enzo Fittipaldi AIX Racing	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P15
17	John Bennett TRIDENT	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	P18
18	Joshua Dürksen Invicta Racing	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P10
19	Alex Dunne Rodin Motorsport	5%	14%	P3–P20	High	—
20	Cian Herta Hitech TGR	4%	14%	P3–P20	High	P7
21	Mari Boya PREMA Racing	4%	13%	P3–P20	High	P13
22	Martinius Stenshorne Rodin Motorsport	4%	12%	P3–P20	High	—

Model Forecast

Likeliest Winner

Roman Bilinski

4.6% projected win

High-Confidence Calls

Drivers Forecast

Race

Feature race

Tap any row in the classification above to open a driver’s per-race forecast and season form.

Circuit & Telemetry

Circuit

Australia

Vector layout

F2 races the same circuits as the lead category; layout geometry is shared. Per-lap telemetry (speed traps, sector times, tyre stints) isn’t published for F2, so this round focuses on the forecast itself.

Charts

Win vs podium probability

Bilinski

5%14%

Minì

4%14%

Tsolov

5%14%

Miyata

5%13%

Shields

5%14%

Beganovic

5%15%

Goethe

4%14%

Hoepen

4%14%

Maini

5%14%

Villagómez

5%14%

Câmara

4%13%

León

4%13%

WinPodiumHover a row for the full market ladder

Win market by round — feature race

Predicted vs actual — feature race

Flatter lines = closer calls. 0 exact, 8 of 19 classified within three places. ·NC marks drivers not classified in the race.

Finish-position likelihood

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
BIL
MIN
TSO
MIY
SHI
BEG
GOE
VAN
MAI
VIL
CAM
LEO
INT
VAR
MON
FIT
BEN
DUR
DUN
HER
BOY
STE

Brighter = more likely. Columns are finishing positions. White ring marks the actual finish.

Head-to-head — P(row beats column)

beats ↓ / →	BIL	MIN	TSO	MIY	SHI	BEG	GOE	VAN	MAI	VIL
BIL	—	50	51	50	51	50	51	51	51	51
MIN	50	—	50	51	50	50	50	50	50	50
TSO	49	50	—	51	50	51	50	51	50	51
MIY	50	49	49	—	51	50	51	49	50	51
SHI	49	50	50	49	—	50	50	50	51	51
BEG	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	50	49	51
GOE	49	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	51	50
VAN	49	50	49	51	50	50	50	—	50	50
MAI	49	50	50	50	49	51	49	50	—	49
VIL	49	50	49	49	49	49	50	50	51	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
BIL
MIN
TSO
MIY
SHI
BEG
GOE
VAN
MAI
VIL
CAM
LEO
INT
VAR
MON
FIT
BEN
DUR
DUN
HER
BOY
STE

beats ↓ / →	BIL	MIN	TSO	MIY	SHI	BEG	GOE	VAN	MAI	VIL
BIL	—	50	51	50	51	50	51	51	51	51
MIN	50	—	50	51	50	50	50	50	50	50
TSO	49	50	—	51	50	51	50	51	50	51
MIY	50	49	49	—	51	50	51	49	50	51
SHI	49	50	50	49	—	50	50	50	51	51
BEG	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	50	49	51
GOE	49	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	51	50
VAN	49	50	49	51	50	50	50	—	50	50
MAI	49	50	50	50	49	51	49	50	—	49
VIL	49	50	49	49	49	49	50	50	51	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
BIL
MIN
TSO
MIY
SHI
BEG
GOE
VAN
MAI
VIL
CAM
LEO
INT
VAR
MON
FIT
BEN
DUR
DUN
HER
BOY
STE

beats ↓ / →	BIL	MIN	TSO	MIY	SHI	BEG	GOE	VAN	MAI	VIL
BIL	—	50	51	50	51	50	51	51	51	51
MIN	50	—	50	51	50	50	50	50	50	50
TSO	49	50	—	51	50	51	50	51	50	51
MIY	50	49	49	—	51	50	51	49	50	51
SHI	49	50	50	49	—	50	50	50	51	51
BEG	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	50	49	51
GOE	49	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	51	50
VAN	49	50	49	51	50	50	50	—	50	50
MAI	49	50	50	50	49	51	49	50	—	49
VIL	49	50	49	49	49	49	50	50	51	—

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
BIL
MIN
TSO
MIY
SHI
BEG
GOE
VAN
MAI
VIL
CAM
LEO
INT
VAR
MON
FIT
BEN
DUR
DUN
HER
BOY
STE

beats ↓ / →	BIL	MIN	TSO	MIY	SHI	BEG	GOE	VAN	MAI	VIL
BIL	—	50	51	50	51	50	51	51	51	51
MIN	50	—	50	51	50	50	50	50	50	50
TSO	49	50	—	51	50	51	50	51	50	51
MIY	50	49	49	—	51	50	51	49	50	51
SHI	49	50	50	49	—	50	50	50	51	51
BEG	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	50	49	51
GOE	49	50	50	49	50	50	—	50	51	50
VAN	49	50	49	51	50	50	50	—	50	50
MAI	49	50	50	50	49	51	49	50	—	49
VIL	49	50	49	49	49	49	50	50	51	—